India-Pakistan conflict over water reflects increasing vulnerability to climate change.
The danger of the Indus Water Treaty collapsing is less about India cutting off water flows and more about the erosion of trust, transparency and data sharing, affecting neighbours including Nepal and Bangladesh. Weaponising water is a perilous strategy that may backfire.
The treaty suspension reflects a growing regional trend: South Asian countries are increasingly treating water as a strategic asset rather than a shared resource amid rising mistrust, climate stress and geopolitical competition.